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Brian Mangan’s Fearless Mets Predictions for 2015

In Sports on April 6, 2015 at 11:22 am

By: Brian Mangan (@brianpmangan)

I’m going to do something I don’t usually do in these pages and make some fearless predictions for 2015. I usually do predictions as they come, rather than go out on a limb, but I’ve had such a great track record recently I figured, “what the heck?”

As a little recap, here’s how I did in 2014.

There are more, which you can read about here in my 2014 Predictions in Review article. Even my predictions this offseason were pretty spot on. I predicted the Mets would roll with Wilmer Flores at shortstop, and they have. I predicted the Mets would address their bullpen issues and they have. I predicted the Mets would send Eric Campbell to the minor leagues and they have. And let’s not talk about Zack Wheeler, ok?

#MarlinsTakeover Just Won’t Go Away: Dee Gordon Edition

In Sports on April 2, 2015 at 11:41 am

By: Brian Mangan

I don’t have anything against Dee Gordon. He seems like a nice guy, and I wish him the best. But in the context of the #MarlinsTakeover narrative that’s all over baseball right now, people need to get a grip about what Dee Gordon is. I’ve written a few times about how there is no logical reason to believe the Marlins are better than the Mets (please, read this), but the narrative continues.

Gordon is a fine little player. He had a career-best season last year worth 3.2 WAR, and he’s only turning 27 this month. But last year has been the exception, not the rule, so far in his career, and he’s unlikely to be a big factor in the 2015 season. To put it bluntly, Dee Gordon isn’t that great.

Dee Gordon has a lifetime 658 OPS in 1,319 plate appearances, yet most folks appear to be under the impression that Gordon’s breakout last year was bigger than it was. However, in this “breakout” season, Gordonposted only a 704 OPS, a figure which is just about league average.

Fitting Jerry Blevins and Alex Torres into the Mets Bullpen

In Sports on March 30, 2015 at 5:10 pm

By: Brian P. Mangan

The Mets made some moves today, acquiring LHP Jerry Blevins from Washington for Matt den Dekker and LHP Alex Torres from San Diego for minor leaguer Cory Mazzoni. Both pitchers are relievers,and do a great deal to fortify the Mets precarious bullpen.

What you need to know about LHP Jerry Blevins

Blevins, 31, profiles as a classic LOOGY (lefty-one-out-guy). For his career, Blevins has allowed a 729 OPS versus righties, and only a 594 OPS versus lefties. That split was even larger last year, with a 821 OPS allowed versus righties and a miniscule 419 OPS versus lefties.

He struggled last season to a 4.87 ERA overall, but posted a 10.4 K/9 and 2.77 FIP. He owns a 3.43 ERA and 3.76 FIP over the last five seasons.

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