Category: Sports

Read More

Trading Dilson Herrera for Jay Bruce Likely a Rare Error by Alderson

Yesterday afternoon, on the day of the trade deadline, the Mets acquired slugging Cincinnati right fielder Jay Bruce, to varying reactions on Twitter and in the media. If you like old school statistics like RBI, in which Bruce leads the National League with 80, you liked the deal. If you have more appreciation for Wins Above Replacement, in which Bruce is 103rd in the National League with 0.7, you didn’t like the deal.

It’s fairly easy to make the case for or against given the diversity of the things that have happened to Jay Bruce in his career. As recently as 2013, Bruce posted 4.2 WAR and posted a slash line of .262/.329/.478, finishing with a wRC+ of 117 and enough votes to come in 10th for the National League MVP. He followed that up in 2014 and 2015 by being below replacement level and posting a collective .223 batting average and 85 wRC+.

*      *      *

Read More

Asdrubal Cabrera’s Injury Means the Mets Must #FreeDilson

News tonight is that Asdrubal Cabrera, who came up lame during the Mets game against the Rockies this afternoon, might be done for the year. If that’s the case, the Mets need to act quickly to figure out what they will do with their roster.

The way I see it, the Mets options can be sorted into three main themes:

Read More

Are We Going For it or Not? The Mets Need to Decide

Right now, the Mets occupy the most uncomfortable position in baseball: fringes-of-the-race-in-July purgatory.

At 6.5 games behind the Nationals in the NL East, and in third place behind the Marlins, the path to the division title is unlikely. Even worse, the Mets have finally dropped out of Wild Card position, sitting third and smack dab in the middle of a group of five teams separated by only four games (Dodgers, Marlins, Mets, Cardinals, Pirates). Fangraphs puts their odds at winning the NL East at 4.8%, and their odds of winning a wild card spot at 34.4%.

Decimated by injuries to David Wright, Lucas Duda, and 3/5ths of the starting rotation (although Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz continue to take the mound, for now) this is not the team we expected to see in the spring. Nonetheless, the Mets remain on the fringes of the race at 49-43 (on pace for an 86 or 87 win season) and do not appear to be clear buyers or sellers. 

Read More

One Man’s Quest to Get the Mets to Acquire Danny Valencia

As is often the case, the baseball world has finally come around to seeing what one person on the internet has been saying all along. Sometimes, that one person is a brilliant one who was just waiting to be discovered (think: Nate Silver). Other times, that person is like a broken clock that you just so happened to look toward at just the right moment (think: Peter Schiff, who called the financial crisis but who otherwise has no apparent ability to predict the economy).

In this case, it doesn’t matter, because that visionary and/or broken clock is me, and I have a blog, so I get to talk about it.

Read More

How To Evaluate Mets Prospects in Triple-A Las Vegas

It is hard to evaluate Mets position player prospects in the hitter’s heaven known as the Triple-A Pacific Coast League. Offense in the PCL is off the charts: the Mets affiliate, the Las Vegas 51’s, is hitting .288/.363/.448 as a team right now. Mets pitchers have an aggregate ERA of 5.25, but that’s been good enough to lead to a winning record on the year so far (31-27).

So how do we know which Mets hitters are good wilmer.JPGenough to be promoted to the major leagues and which ones are duds? We all already know we can’t look at the PCL statistics and expect anything close to that in the major leagues, but we also know that some players make the transition better than others. So, how can you tell the 2014 Wilmer Flores (.323/.367/.568) from 2014 Eric Campbell (.355/.442/.525)? Power.

*     *     *